Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) — $208.56 −4.65%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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MRVL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 20.42M · Avg 41.70M
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.$208.56-4.65%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$207.52
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$326–334
center $329.80 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$24.09
11.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.49× · 20.42M vs 41.70M avg
52-week range$61.44 – $329.88
Below high since 2015-36.8% · $329.88 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.9
Plan stop$164.88
Max pain$220.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.8 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags4 review
What-if price
$208.56
$161.60 · -22.5%-22.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+11.6% · $232.65+11.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
48.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$240.93
below the line
Bollinger
$168.44
no lower pierce · fires near $162.48
VWAP 20
$198.39
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $198.29
Entry level
$207.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$200.00
OI strike below · fires near $200.93
MACD
+4.53
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.49×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$17.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Aug 2026
· in 16 days
Next dividend
0.12% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed