Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.20M · 3-mo avg 781.1K

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR)

MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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$1,184.49
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$1,223–1,263
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $1,242.92 · Nov 6
±$117.02
±9.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume11% above normal1.11× its 20-day average
Past year's range$833.18 – $1,714.09lowest to highest price
From its peak30.5% belowpeak $1,714.09, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.32 to 1$0.32 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$1,025.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$1,260.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.0fires under 35 · fires near $1,059.58
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit25.7× next year65.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 47%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 67.4×
Cash it generates1.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.0
fires under 35 · fires near $1,059.58
vs 50-day
✓
$1,266.58
below the line
Bollinger
●
$1,119.50
no lower pierce · fires near $1,102.89
VWAP 20
✓
$1,226.40
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$1,184.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,120.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-1.52
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.11×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$79.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
0.67% yld
no ex-date on file