MP Materials Corp. (MP) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MP earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.73M · 3-mo avg 5.74M

MP Materials Corp. (MP)

MPMP Materials Corp.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 94/100 · was 36 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$35.23
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$39–40
near a heavy call-option level, the options pressure point and a round-number price · midpoint $39.83 · Nov 6
±$3.89
±11.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume42% above normal1.42× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.90 – $76.80lowest to highest price
From its peak64.7% belowpeak $100.25, highest since 2020
Gain vs. risk0.83 to 1$0.83 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$30.10the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$39.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)34.2washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit48.7× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 26.5×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-5.2%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$45.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$34.51
no lower pierce · fires near $34.22
VWAP 20
✓
$38.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$35.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$38.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.18
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.42×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
25.1%
25.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$2.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file