Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.74M · 3-mo avg 10.55M

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)

MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 10/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$70.47
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$77–78
center $77.34 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.15
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.11×
52-week range$48.52 – $105.91
Below high since 2015-33.1% · $105.91 high
Risk / reward0.77 : 1
Plan stop$65.44
Max pain$75.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.6 fires under 35 · fires near $69.64
Forensic flags4 review
Earnings multiple104.8× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past81st pctile · 26.6× median
Free cash flow yield2.2% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
41.6
fires under 35 · fires near $69.64
vs 50-day
$77.09
below the line
Bollinger
$69.92
no lower pierce · fires near $69.38
VWAP 20
$73.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$70.47
level below · fires near $71.15
Put wall
$75.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.06
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.11×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 35 sessions
Next dividend
2.52% yld
no ex-date on file