Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 47.39M · 3-mo avg 10.38M

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)

MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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$56.05
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$64–66
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $65.00 · Nov 6
±$8.67
±14.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume212% above normal3.12× its 20-day average
Past year's range$48.52 – $105.91lowest to highest price
From its peak44.9% belowpeak $105.91, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.46 to 1$0.46 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$43.75the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$75.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)26.9oversold
Accounting warning signs4worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit43.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 70%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 27.0×
Cash it generates2.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 10.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
26.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$74.85
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$64.49
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$72.19
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$56.05
level below · fires near $56.56
Put wall
✓
$75.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-1.66
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
3.12×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
USD 0.46
ex-date 2026-11-23