Katapult Holdings, Inc. (KPLT) — $6.36 −4.65%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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KPLTpeers & supply-chain relationships

KPLT fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.8K · Avg 14.0K
KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.$6.36-4.65%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. segment micro — there is no entry price on file yet.

QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
2 of 4 aligned — closing in
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~74% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.8× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.56× · 7.8K vs 14.0K avg
52-week range$5.50 – $24.34
Below high since 2019-98.8% · $540.14 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1442.3 fires under 35 · fires near $5.89
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$6.36
$5.38 · -15.4%-15.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+15.4% · $7.34+15.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 4 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
42.3
fires under 35 · fires near $5.89
vs 50-day
$6.66
below the line
Bollinger
$5.99
no lower pierce · fires near $5.90
VWAP 20
$6.73
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.05
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.56×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
8.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026
· in 1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed