Deep dive · NGM: IAC
People Inc stock analysis
Everything behind the call on People Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Why the reads disagreeread this before the sections
0 factors lean up and 3 lean down and one side is clearly ahead. The net lands at -5 over 30d, a leaning reading, which makes this a question of size rather than of direction.
Leans down · and why
earnings, quality / value, sentiment vote down.
What it changes
Size, not direction. dealers are short gamma, so swings get bigger both ways; separately, the tail model puts a very bad day at −10.1%; and the binding position cap is 2.6% — the tail cap is the one that binds.
Global tape
No overseas listings — IAC trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart here
Wall Street rating
Buy
+23% to the average target
67% buy · 33% hold · 0% sell
median target $52
median target $52
Chart pattern
Between the averages
The 50-day sits above the 200-day
50-day $43.05 · -1.9%
200-day $38.42 · +9.9%
200-day $38.42 · +9.9%
Earnings
In 37 days
2 Nov 2026 · options imply ±0.1%
beat ≤2 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=20,787
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=20,787
Valuation
16.3× forward
Against consensus earnings
FCF yield 1.34%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 critical
5 checks run, 2 clear
beta 0.92 · vol 33% ann.
worst drawdown -24%
worst drawdown -24%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does93 chars
IAC Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and internet company worldwide.
NGM · USDInternet Content & Information
$42.240.00 · 0.00%CLOSED · vol 635.6K
52-week range↑ 43% off low · ↓ 8.8% off high
$29.56now $42.24$46.33
Tape 2026-07-17
01Ratios · Jul 7, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 1.2 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 2 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
1.20DISTRESS ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 7, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)COMFORTABLE
7.1σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.12%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 6/9
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills2.75×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital0.30
Leverage · long-term debt / equitythe borrowings that outlive a bad quarter0.20
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$465.61M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersLOW DILUTION
22nd pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Buyback yieldGROSS
10.03%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueELEVATED
8.2%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
60 / 100
1 critical · 2 watch · 2 clear of 5 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCRITICALZ 1.20Altman-Z in the Distress · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCLEARM -2.70M-score in range · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.29long-term debt 0.29× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 6/9Piotroski F-score 6 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 2 clear and 2 watch and 1 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 26, 2026FAIR · 41/100
Business quality
-4% net margin, -2% return on equity, -9% revenue growth, and capital earning 2% against a 9% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
41 / 100FAIR
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 26, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
-4.3%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
66.2%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
4.6%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
-2.2%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-7.2pp
Earns 2% on invested capital that costs about 9%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Asset growth vs peersIN LINE
11th pctile
The balance sheet grew -26% on the year. Fast asset growth is usually a ramp; occasionally it is the start of an inventory problem.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month+6.8%
3 months+10.6%
6 months+14.5%
Year to date+14.1%
1 year+16.7%
Revenue growth (YoY)SHRINKING
-8.7%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
+10.2%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankTOP 24%
76 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsMay 4, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
39%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT ≤2 OF THE LAST 8
0 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 0 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus bias0.64× COHORT
Persistent
consensus runs high for this name — it usually falls short
Next reportIN 37 DAYS
2 Nov 2026
Reports amc · consensus EPS $-0.16
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 27, 2026
Uptrend · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,132,432
21d47%-0.1%531,932
63d48%-0.7%170,248
slope +0.09 over 40 bars
Head and shoulders · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%499,633
21d51%+0.1%235,260
63d51%+0.3%74,900
head above two ≈-equal shoulders — bearish reversal
Double bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,247,184
21d50%0.0%586,365
63d51%+0.3%185,394
two troughs ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Descending triangle · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%506,531
21d48%0.0%238,519
63d49%0.0%75,354
flat support, falling resistance
Cup and handle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.2%701,064
21d47%-0.4%328,275
63d47%-1.4%104,377
U-base + small handle pullback
Gap down · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%0.0%170,953
21d46%-0.2%80,412
63d44%-2.7%25,212
opened -3.2% below prior close
0316.3× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $42.24, 16.3× forward earnings, RSI 67, and dealers short gamma.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Mixed1 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $43.05 · 200-day $38.42. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-07-02 → 2026-07-17
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Up 0.00% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)WARM
67
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±3.2%
$1.35
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.46
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position34% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$43.31
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$42.83
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
2 Nov 2026 · in 37 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 5 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-29 · in 3 daysJob Openings (JOLTS)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
46 / 53cohort n=3,987
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.07× segment rate · n=13,182
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 84% of cases (n=13,182).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
2.1σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$46 – $471 support
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $46.26.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
0 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 2 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 53% of cases (n=3,987) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-0.70pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-5.21
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months16.3×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported25.9×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit1.3×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets0.7×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay21.4×
EV / free cash flowenterprise value against the cash the business throws off85.7×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value1.34%
4 of the 7 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timing
Data unavailableThe technical factors this engine reads are more than four days old, so any level it composed would be anchored to a tape that has moved. They return with the next nightly factor run.
Gamma mapChain · Jun 23, 2026
Signal
Short gamma — moves get amplified.
Dealers hedge in the same direction as the move, so swings get bigger both ways rather than one. That argues for a smaller position size, not for a direction.
Options tapeLast snapshot before the 2026-06-18 expiry · Chain · Jun 23, 2026
Max pain-44.9%
$25.00
The strike where most open options would have expired worthless on the last snapshot. That expiry has passed; the next chain read replaces it.
Put / call ratio (OI)PUT-HEAVY
7.00
13% calls
87% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
2.23
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $0.05
±0.1%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$25.00PUT3
$20.00PUT3
$27.50CALL1
$17.50PUT1
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-06-18 (expired)CallsPutsMax pain $25.00
0
$55.00
00
$50.00
00
$47.50
00
$45.00
00
$42.50
00
$40.00
00
$37.50
00
$35.00
00
$32.50
00
$30.00
01
$27.50
00
$25.00
30
$20.00
30
$17.50
1
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ 52-week high$46.33+2.1%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
↑ Call wall$27.50-39.4%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
◇ Max pain$25.00-44.9%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ 50-day average$43.05-5.1%The line the short-term trend is measured against.A close beneath it is the first structural warning.
↓ Put wall$20.00-55.9%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL -5
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 113%, short interest is 15.04% of float, and 20 analysts average $52.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
-5LEANING · 30d
0 bull / 3 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
-2
latest EPS missed by a wide margin (low EPS base)
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
-2
Altman-Z in the distress zone
Sentiment1–30D · TIMING
-1
7d sentiment depressed (0/100)
Signal
0 bull / 3 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to -5 over 30d, a leaning reading. 3 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street20 covering firms
Consensus rating20 ANALYSTS
Buy
67% buy · 33% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 20 covering firms.
Median price target+23%
$52
$44now $42$66
A $44–$66 spread across the panel. A twelve-month view, and a wide spread means real disagreement rather than a consensus.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
113.2%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
3.3%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)CROWDED
15.04%
The share of the tradable float sold short.
Free float80% OF SHARES
55.07M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)80th PCTILE
$49.82M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Insider filings · Form 4
InsiderTradeAmountPlanTraded
Clinton Chelsea · DirectorAward$6,232—30 Jun
Lourd Bryan · DirectorAward$16,248—30 Jun
EISNER MICHAEL D · DirectorAward$14,356—30 Jun
Seferian Maria · DirectorAward$12,509—30 Jun
Executives must file within two business days. Sales on pre-set 10b5-1 plans are scheduled months ahead and carry little signal; tax withholding, exercises and awards are compensation mechanics, not trades; the open-market lines are the ones to read.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved on Sep 27, 2026NONE
flat
We don't have a fresh enough quote for IAC to measure its move since the last close.
News tone · 7-day—
0 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Newswire · 46 stories
WhenHeadlineSourceTone
FriWhy Is People (PPLI) Stock Soaring Today - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Financenot scored
WedBarry Diller's People withdraws bid for MGM Resorts - AOL.caAOL.canot scored
WedUS stocks: MGM Resorts shares plunge 10% as Diller’s IAC drops $18 billion bid - The Economic TimesThe Economic Timesnot scored
WedIAC stock holds near its 52 week range midpoint - AD HOC NEWSAD HOC NEWSnot scored
MonMagnum Confirms Large-Scale Brazilian IAC Rare Earth Discovery After 10,000m Drilling - TipRanksTipRanksnot scored
MonIAC stock reflects ticker change to PPLI amid corporate restructuring - AD HOC NEWSAD HOC NEWSnot scored
Sep 19Why Is the Market Reassessing IAC (IAC)? - kalkinemedia.comkalkinemedia.comnot scored
Sep 9IAC (NASDAQ:IAC): What Could Drive Its Next Big Move? - Kalkine MediaKalkine Medianot scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net buying.
1 of 1 disclosures are buys and 0 are sales. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
0510 graded callsORDINARY VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 0.92, 33% annual volatility, a -24% worst drawdown, and 3 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−10.1%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−31.6%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementHEAVY TAIL
1.8×
A normal-curve estimate understates this name's worst days by about 1.8×, so volatility alone is the wrong risk measure for it.
Max drawdownWORST FALL
-24.4%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)IN LINE
0.92
Moves about 0.9× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityORDINARY
33%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure0
Buying pressure48
Overheat26
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
What votes againstNightly
MedEarningslatest EPS missed by a wide margin (low EPS base)4 quarters · -2
MedQuality / valueAltman-Z in the distress zoneTTM · -2
LowSentiment7d sentiment depressed (0/100)1–30d · -1
Signal
3 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.6%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.6% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
0.8%0.1× its cohort · heavily-traded large-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this heavily-traded large-caps segment: 8.0%. This name reads 0.1× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 28.1% · tail cap 2.6% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 2.6% is the number (n=120,445). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 5.8% against a 9.6% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowCash runwayNon-burner: catastrophe rate 6.1% (n=297414).Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftNo measured earnings reaction on file, so the drift surface is unmeasured.Not scored
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighRestatement history9 restatements in 2 years. The flagged-company base rate is 6.2× the unflagged one.Integrity
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
3 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 3 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You'd be buying into earnings
A report lands in 37 days, and the chain prices ±0.1% for the week.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.6% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record10 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
34 logged
34 calls logged on this name, 10 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
Calls on IACTHIS NAME
34
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 10.
0610-K disclosed linksINTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 2 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-2.3% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
6098.TPeer$16,335.00+2.09%
GOOGLCompetitor$343.92+0.46%
GOOGPeer$341.08+0.61%
METAPeer$751.66-3.33%
SPOTPeer$510.01-0.27%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
3 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 3 DAYS
Job Openings (JOLTS)
2026-09-29. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 19, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Lower rates help growth-priced media and internet companies.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later +0.3% · Rose on 88 of 159 report days
Across the last 159 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, IAC moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 0.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.2% · A week later +1.3% · Two weeks later +1.5% · Rose on 21 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, IAC moved -0.2% on average on the day and was 1.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 3 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedMedia and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.3% · A week later -1.6% · Two weeks later -1.4% · Rose on 15 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, IAC moved -0.3% on average on the day and was 1.4% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.2% · A week later +1.4% · Two weeks later +1.5% · Rose on 20 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, IAC moved -0.2% on average on the day and was 1.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Growth-priced media and internet companies fall when rates stay high.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later -0.2% · Two weeks later +0.3% · Rose on 22 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, IAC moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 0.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.2% · A week later +1.4% · Two weeks later +1.5% · Rose on 20 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Inflation (CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, IAC moved -0.2% on average on the day and was 1.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS) is due in 2 days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually hurts when job openings come in higher than expectedMore jobs means more ad spending, but the higher-rates reaction usually wins on the day.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.8% · A week later -0.6% · Two weeks later +0.9% · Rose on 13 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, IAC moved -0.8% on average on the day and was 0.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) is due in 5 days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually hurts when hiring comes in stronger than expectedMore jobs means more ad spending, but the higher-rates reaction usually wins on the day.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
On the day -0.6% · A week later -0.2% · Two weeks later +1.1% · Rose on 14 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jul 6, 2023, IAC moved -0.6% on average on the day and was 1.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections2 links · 2 confirmed
Direct connections · 2 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
ANGI · Partnerpartner+5.04%Confirmed · manual
GOOGL · Competitorcompetitor+0.46%Confirmed · manual
2 of 2 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.