GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GFS fair-value estimate

GFS earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.38M · 3-mo avg 3.87M

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS)

GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 14/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$45.50
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$50–51
center $50.44 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.39
7.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.66×
52-week range$32.02 – $92.55
Below high since 2021-50.5% · $92.55 high
Risk / reward1.01 : 1
Plan stop$41.30
Max pain$45.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.4 fires under 35 · fires near $43.03
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.5× fwd · 33.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past69th pctile · 29.9× median
Free cash flow yield4.0% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 6.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
45.4
fires under 35 · fires near $43.03
vs 50-day
$51.04
below the line
Bollinger
$42.54
no lower pierce · fires near $42.00
VWAP 20
$45.34
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $45.32
Entry level
$45.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$45.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.43
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.66×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-10
in 38 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.12
ex-date 2026-09-23