GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. (GCTS) — $2.04 −16.73%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

GCTSpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 2.06M · Avg 4.92M
GCTSGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.$2.04-16.73%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -4 — more evidence points down than up — and the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
~99% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg0.42× · 2.06M vs 4.92M avg
52-week range$0.90 – $3.93
Below high since 2021-95.6% · $56.00 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1456.9 fires under 35
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$2.04
$1.63 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+19.1% · $2.43+19.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
56.9
fires under 35
vs 50-day
$2.49
below the line
Bollinger
$1.70
no lower pierce · fires near $1.63
VWAP 20
$2.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.11
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.42×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
9.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
11 Aug 2026 · after the bell
amc · in -1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed