Everything behind the call on Endeavour Silver Corp. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
No overseas listings — EXK trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-18
Chart pattern
Above both averages
The 50-day sits below the 200-day
50-day $9.50 · +7.5% 200-day $9.93 · +2.9%
Earnings
In 48 days
5 Nov 2026
beat 3–4 of the last 8 cohort P(beat) 53% · n=38,388
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 critical
5 checks run, 2 clear
beta 2.93 · vol 58% ann. worst drawdown -48%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does221 chars
Endeavour Silver Corp., a silver mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Mexico, Chile, Peru, and the United States.
NYSE · USDSilver Mining
$10.21+0.04 · +0.39%CLOSED · vol 7.50M
52-week range↑ 78% off low · ↓ 32.6% off high
$5.75now $10.21$15.15
After-hours
$10.210.00%
Sep 18, 2026 · 5:25 PM ET
Quote Sep 18, 2026 · time not on file Tape 2026-09-17 Factors 2026-09-18
01Ratios · Jun 23, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 2.0 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 2 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
2.01GREY ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJun 23, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)COMFORTABLE
4.4σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
Structural snapshot · Sep 18, 2026
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.49%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Profitability qualityCRITICALF 3/9Piotroski F-score 3 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsCLEAR0 flagsno filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 2 clear and 2 watch and 1 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 18, 2026POOR · 32/100
Business quality
-25% net margin, -21% return on equity, +115% revenue growth, and capital earning 6% against a 15% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
32 / 100POOR
Profitability · net margin -25%
Growth · revenue +115% YoY
Balance strength · debt/equity 0.42
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 18, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
-25.5%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
17.6%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
8.2%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
-20.6%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-9.1pp
Earns 6% on invested capital that costs about 15%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month
-7.5%
3 months
+18.1%
6 months
+17.0%
Year to date
+12.7%
1 year
+56.5%
Revenue growth (YoY)FAST
+114.8%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
+55.3%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankTOP 20%
80 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
cohort n=38,388 · this name's own n=8 · since 2000
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 3–4 OF THE LAST 8
4 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
n=8 measured prints
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 7 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus bias0.86× COHORT
Persistent
no consistent habit either way
As of · Jul 28, 2026
Next reportIN 48 DAYS
5 Nov 2026
Reports amc · consensus EPS $0.45 · revenue 262.5 M
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Above 50 & 2002 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $9.50 · 200-day $9.93. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-09-13 → 2026-09-17
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Up 0.39% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Market cap$3.15B
Day range$10.21 – $10.86
Above 52-week low+78%
Realized volatility58% ann.
Worst drawdown-47.5%
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
50
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±5.9%
$0.60
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.09
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position30% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$10.72
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$9.84
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
5 Nov 2026 · in 48 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 3 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-25 · in 7 daysConsumer SentimentA scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.21× segment rate · n=10,688
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 96% of cases (n=10,688).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-0.9σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$10 – $103 supports
Where prior demand appeared: Pivot low at $10.13, S1 at $9.96, Sma 200 at $9.93.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
2 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Not enough fundamental coverage to score this name's red-flag cohort — no 12-month odds shown.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-3.13pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-0.10
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported53.1×
PEG ratioP/E divided by growth; near 1 reads fair for the growth0.03
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit6.7×5yr median 3.9×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets5.4×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value-3.24%
4 of the 5 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 17, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1 + sma 200
$10.12In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
Target52-week high
$15.15$15–$15
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$8.91risk $1.21/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
4.17:1
Reward against risk on the composer's own levels.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
-6.9%
short-term trend line · $9.50
To the 200-day
-2.8%
primary trend line · $9.93
To the composer's target
+48.4%
52-week high · set Sep 17, 2026 · $15.15
To the composer's stop
-12.7%
2× ATR below entry · set Sep 17, 2026 · $8.91
To the 52-week high
+48.4%
highest print of the past year · $15.15
To the 52-week low
-43.7%
lowest print of the past year · $5.75
A typical day (ATR)
$9.61 – $10.81
±$0.60 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
The levels line up.
Entry $10.12 · stop $8.91 · target $15.15, a 4.17:1 ratio. The composer flagged: fair-value reference, far target.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL -1
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 59%.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
-1BALANCED · 30d
Quality / value -2
Earnings +1
1 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+1
latest EPS beat by 19%
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
-2
weak Piotroski F-score (3/9)
Signal
1 bull / 1 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to -1 over 30d, a balanced reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipRETAIL-HEAVY
59.3%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.2%
The share held by the people running the company.
Free float100% OF SHARES
295.50M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)84th PCTILE
$76.51M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Funds entering / exitingNET -5
+10 / −15
Institutions opening a first position against those closing out entirely, at the latest filings.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
+0.39%
EXK was little changed +0.39% since the last close — no notable catalyst, and the move itself was modest.
Matched · Sep 18, 2026
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
0510 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 2.93, 58% annual volatility, a -48% worst drawdown, and 2 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−12.5%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−17.0%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementNEAR-NORMAL
1.0×
The tail runs close to what a normal curve would predict, so volatility is a reasonable proxy for risk here — which is not true of every name.
Max drawdownWORST FALL
-47.5%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
2.93
Moves about 2.9× the market over the past year.
3-year beta 1.77
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
58%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure57
Buying pressure0
Overheat2
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
0-100 · high = active · lit = the engine's own phase, cohort-banded
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
1.8%tail cap binds
max defensible size 1.8% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
13.9%1.5× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 1.5× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 11.0% · tail cap 1.8% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 1.8% is the number (n=105,487). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
MedLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 13.8% against a 10.8% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — above the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
HighCash runwayAbout 8.5 quarters of cash at current burn ($215M cash against $102M a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 16.3% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+3.21% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
2 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 2 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -48%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 58% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 2.93 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 1.8% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record10 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
24 logged
24 calls logged on this name, 10 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
10 resolved · 14 open
Calls on EXKTHIS NAME
24
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 10.
0610-K disclosed linksSILVER MINING
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 10 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
+12.0% per +1ppINSUFFICIENT
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (neutral) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
AGPeer$19.84+1.80%
AYAPeer$28.46-1.25%
SVMPeer$11.94-1.73%
AYASFPeer$19.33+3.65%
HSLVPeer$5.50+1.48%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
A slowing economy uses less steel, copper and chemicals.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later +1.5% · Two weeks later +2.5% · Rose on 78 of 169 report days
Across the last 169 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, EXK moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 2.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Miners and chemical makers sell raw materials whose prices rise with inflation.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later -1.3% · Two weeks later +2.7% · Rose on 19 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, EXK moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 2.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
A hawkish Fed lifts the dollar, which makes dollar-priced metals dearer for foreign buyers.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day -0.7% · A week later 0.0% · Two weeks later +4.1% · Rose on 14 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, EXK moved -0.7% on average on the day and was 4.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expected
Lumber, cement and gravel.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.7% · A week later +1.9% · Two weeks later -0.5% · Rose on 20 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, EXK moved +0.7% on average on the day and was 0.5% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
More building and manufacturing means more demand for raw materials.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day -0.4% · A week later +0.4% · Two weeks later +0.5% · Rose on 15 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, EXK moved -0.4% on average on the day and was 0.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
PCE inflation is due in 11 days.
PCE inflationUsually helps when inflation runs hotter than expected
Miners and chemical makers sell raw materials whose prices rise with inflation.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later -1.3% · Two weeks later +2.7% · Rose on 19 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 PCE inflation reports since Jun 28, 2023, EXK moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 2.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Miners and chemical makers sell raw materials whose prices rise with inflation.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.9% · A week later +2.3% · Two weeks later +3.0% · Rose on 22 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, EXK moved +0.9% on average on the day and was 3.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Miners and chemical makers sell raw materials whose prices rise with inflation.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +2.4% · Two weeks later +2.8% · Rose on 21 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, EXK moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 2.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.