Apple Inc. (AAPL) — Consumer Electronics. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AAPLpeers & supply-chain relationships

AAPL fair-value estimate

AAPL earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 29.95M · 3-mo avg 48.08M

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

AAPLApple Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 11 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~10% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$339.36
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$343–347
center $345.14 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.37
2.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.70×
52-week range$243.42 – $345.34
Below high since 2015-1.2% · $345.34 high
Risk / reward0.25 : 1
Plan stop$324.90
Max pain$335.00 options cluster
RSI 1465.7 fires under 35 · fires near $305.13
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple35.6× fwd · 39.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past96th pctile · 30.8× median
Free cash flow yield2.0% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
65.7
fires under 35 · fires near $305.13
vs 50-day
●
$321.74
above the line · fires near $324.50
Bollinger
●
$313.07
no lower pierce · fires near $310.50
VWAP 20
●
$328.36
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $328.23
Entry level
✓
$339.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.80
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.70×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.81
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
0.32% yld
no ex-date on file