Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) — $10.73 +3.27%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FSMpeers & supply-chain relationships

FSM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.80M · Avg 5.35M
FSMFortuna Mining Corp.$10.73+3.27%

WAIT.

The business passes the quality checks — the entry price doesn't.

0 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
0 of 5 aligned — not yet
Quality is there; waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$10.58
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13.85
center $13.85 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs 20-day avg1.08× · 5.80M vs 5.35M avg
52-week range$6.35 – $13.85
Below high since 2015-22.5% · $13.85 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.7
Plan stop$9.39
Max pain
RSI 1474.3 overbought
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$10.73
$8.58 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.7% · $11.66+8.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
74.3
overbought
vs 50-day
$8.83
above the line · fires near $8.88
Bollinger
$7.39
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$8.85
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $8.84
Entry level
$10.58
level below · fires near $10.68
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.26
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.08×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed