Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — $837.58 −0.55%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

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CAT fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.90M · Avg 3.24M
CATCaterpillar Inc.$837.58-0.55%Pre-market$842.00+0.53%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

4 of 6 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 4-of-6 screen rule.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.3× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$833.39
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$905–925
center $914.69 · basis · round + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$55.62
6.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.59× · 1.90M vs 3.24M avg
52-week range$405.46 – $1,073.46
Below high since 2015-22.0% · $1,073.46 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$745.53
Max pain$850.00 options cluster
RSI 1442.3 fires under 35 · fires near $780.87
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$837.58
$751.17 · -10.3%-10.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.6% · $893.20+6.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
42.3
fires under 35 · fires near $780.87
vs 50-day
$914.69
below the line
Bollinger
$791.80
no lower pierce · fires near $780.87
VWAP 20
$862.55
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$833.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$840.00
within 0.5% of max put OI
MACD
+1.18
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.59×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$40.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
0.78% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed