Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CATpeers & supply-chain relationships

CAT fair-value estimate

CAT earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.11M · 3-mo avg 2.89M

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

CATCaterpillar Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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$581.65
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 10
$792–808
near the top of its usual range and the 200-day average · midpoint $799.68 · Nov 10
±$38.93
±6.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume4% above normal1.04× its 20-day average
Past year's range$537.08 – $1,073.46lowest to highest price
From its peak45.5% belowpeak $1,073.46, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.81 to 1$2.81 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$508.05the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)31.1washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.1× next year23.5× last 12 months
Cash it generates2.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
31.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$750.63
below the line
Bollinger
●
$537.17
no lower pierce · fires near $524.02
VWAP 20
✓
$650.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$581.65
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-6.95
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.04×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$32.66
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
1.12% yld
no ex-date on file