ESAB Corporation (ESAB) — Metal Fabrication. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ESAB fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.25M · 3-mo avg 772.0K

ESAB Corporation (ESAB)

ESABESAB Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$86.69
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$90–92
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $90.75 · Nov 10
±$6.80
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume5% below normal0.95× its 20-day average
Past year's range$64.83 – $137.42lowest to highest price
From its peak36.6% belowpeak $137.42, highest since 2022
Gain vs. risk0.35 to 1$0.35 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$76.64the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)71.1overbought
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.1× next year22.5× last 12 months
Cash it generates4.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 30% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
71.1
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$70.35
above the line · fires near $70.58
Bollinger
●
$57.11
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$72.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $72.49
Entry level
✓
$86.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.62
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
0.55% yld
no ex-date on file