Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) — Metal Fabrication. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CRS fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.18M · 3-mo avg 914.7K

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS)

CRSCarpenter Technology Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 52/100 · Nov 9
$302.10
near the 52-week low, a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$350–362
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $356.15 · Nov 9
±$26.20
±8.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume13% below normal0.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$270.49 – $625.99lowest to highest price
From its peak51.2% belowpeak $625.99, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.96 to 1$0.96 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$252.37the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)40.2fires under 35 · fires near $293.39
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.1× next year26.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 5%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 39.0×
Cash it generates2.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 9.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.2
fires under 35 · fires near $293.39
vs 50-day
✓
$377.51
below the line
Bollinger
●
$235.26
no lower pierce · fires near $219.46
VWAP 20
●
$304.60
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $304.26
Entry level
●
$302.10
level below · fires near $304.81
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.40
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.87×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$24.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
0.26% yld
no ex-date on file