Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) — $552.09 −1.41%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CRSpeers & supply-chain relationships

CRS fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 50.4K · Avg 725.9K
CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation$552.09-1.41%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$557.18
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$619–633
center $625.99 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$43.73
7.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.07× · 50.4K vs 725.9K avg
52-week range$228.00 – $625.99
Below high since 2015-10.5% · $625.99 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$497.35
Max pain$560.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.7 fires under 35 · fires near $459.43
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$552.09
$457.66 · -17.1%-17.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.9% · $595.81+7.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
49.7
fires under 35 · fires near $459.43
vs 50-day
$560.72
below the line
Bollinger
$513.87
no lower pierce · fires near $505.46
VWAP 20
$555.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$557.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$520.00
OI strike below · fires near $522.58
MACD
-10.12
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.07×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$29.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
22 Oct 2026
· in 71 days
Next dividend
0.14% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed