Commercial Metals Company (CMC) — Metal Fabrication. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CMCpeers & supply-chain relationships

CMC fair-value estimate

CMC earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.24M · 3-mo avg 1.15M

Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

CMCCommercial Metals Companyloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$64.05
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$83–85
near the 52-week high · midpoint $84.06 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume2% below normal0.98× its 20-day average
Past year's range$57.01 – $84.87lowest to highest price
From its peak24.2% belowpeak $84.87, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.72 to 1$3.72 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$59.07the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)49.9fires under 35 · fires near $59.64
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.6× next year11.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 58%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.4×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 38% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $59.64
vs 50-day
✓
$64.93
at the line
Bollinger
●
$61.74
no lower pierce · fires near $61.20
VWAP 20
✓
$64.57
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$64.05
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
0.00
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.98×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-01-07
in 40 sessions
Next dividend
1.24% yld
no ex-date on file