Commercial Metals Company (CMC) — Metal Fabrication. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 879.6K · 3-mo avg 1.24M

Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

CMCCommercial Metals Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 7/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$65.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$68–69
center $68.47 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.86×
52-week range$53.08 – $84.87
Below high since 2015-22.6% · $84.87 high
Risk / reward0.67 : 1
Plan stop$61.64
Max pain—
RSI 1446.3 fires under 35 · fires near $61.81
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.8× fwd · 12.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past63rd pctile · 9.4× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.3
fires under 35 · fires near $61.81
vs 50-day
✓
$68.49
below the line
Bollinger
●
$62.78
no lower pierce · fires near $62.11
VWAP 20
✓
$66.60
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$65.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.32
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.86×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-15
in 15 sessions
Next dividend
1.22% yld
no ex-date on file