ATI Inc. (ATI) — Metal Fabrication. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ATI fair-value estimate

ATI earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.14M · 3-mo avg 1.70M

ATI Inc. (ATI)

ATIATI Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$184.55
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$201–205
center $202.92 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.56
7.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.56×
52-week range$75.02 – $243.57
Below high since 2015-23.8% · $243.57 high
Risk / reward1.03 : 1
Plan stop$168.52
Max pain$190.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.4 fires under 35 · fires near $180.39
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple29.2× fwd · 54.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past71st pctile · 29.7× median
Free cash flow yield1.3% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
38.4
fires under 35 · fires near $180.39
vs 50-day
✓
$202.85
below the line
Bollinger
●
$177.20
no lower pierce · fires near $174.99
VWAP 20
✓
$197.74
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$184.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$185.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-2.74
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.56×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file