Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) — $13.47 −0.96%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

EFCpeers & supply-chain relationships

EFC fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.35M · Avg 1.25M
EFCEllington Financial Inc.$13.47-0.96%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$13.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13.75
center $13.75 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.69
5.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~58% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.08× · 1.35M vs 1.25M avg
52-week range$11.28 – $14.12
Below high since 2015-38.1% · $21.77 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$12.95
Max pain$2.50 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1454.6 fires under 35 · fires near $12.44
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$13.47
$12.29 · -8.8%-8.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.1% · $14.16+5.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
54.6
fires under 35 · fires near $12.44
vs 50-day
$13.33
above the line · fires near $13.46
Bollinger
$13.09
no lower pierce · fires near $13.02
VWAP 20
$13.39
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $13.38
Entry level
$13.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$12.50
OI strike below · fires near $12.56
MACD
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.08×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
USD 0.39
ex-date 2026-08-31
prices 15-min delayed