Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CRDO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 11.73M · 3-mo avg 6.80M

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)

CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltdloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$206.06
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$306–311
center $308.67 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$19.03
9.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.20×
52-week range$86.49 – $308.67
Below high since 2022-31.7% · $308.67 high
Risk / reward3.90 : 1
Plan stop$185.92
Max pain$177.50 options cluster
RSI 1457.9 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple74.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past11th pctile · 127.5× median
Free cash flow yield1.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 7.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
57.9
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
✓
$209.96
at the line
Bollinger
●
$133.58
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$177.54
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $177.39
Entry level
●
$206.06
level below · fires near $208.08
Put wall
●
$165.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context✓
+6.50
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.20×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$10.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-30
in 45 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file