Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CIM fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.73M · 3-mo avg 869.2K

Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)

CIMChimera Investment Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 95/100 · was 55 on Sep 22 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$10.29
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$13.57
center $13.57 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.44×
52-week range$10.21 – $14.18
Below high since 2015-85.3% · $70.53 high
Risk / reward5.89 : 1
Plan stop$9.79
Max pain—
RSI 1426.1 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple5.0× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 71% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
26.1
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$11.72
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$10.40
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$11.08
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$10.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.44×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.25
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
17.41% yld
no ex-date on file