Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CCK fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.15M · 3-mo avg 971.7K

Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK)

CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 90/100 · was 66 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-252/6Bottom watch · 2 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$107.52
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$115–117
center $115.93 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.91
3.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.92× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.17×
52-week range$89.21 – $122.91
Below high since 2015-18.3% · $132.23 high
Risk / reward1.54 : 1
Plan stop$102.96
Max pain$105.00 options cluster
RSI 1435.6 fires under 35 · fires near $107.81
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.1× fwd · 15.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past23rd pctile · 20.8× median
Free cash flow yield9.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
35.6
fires under 35 · fires near $107.81
vs 50-day
✓
$116.10
below the line
Bollinger
●
$105.83
no lower pierce · fires near $105.14
VWAP 20
✓
$111.78
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$107.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$115.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.66
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.17×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-19
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
1.21% yld
no ex-date on file
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