Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.23M · 3-mo avg 4.87M

Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW)

SWSmurfit Westrock Plcloading…
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QTick signal
-5net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 38/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$46.18
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$51–52
center $51.52 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.73×
52-week range$32.73 – $52.65
Below high since 2023-18.6% · $56.99 high
Risk / reward1.66 : 1
Plan stop$43.33
Max pain—
RSI 1453.4 fires under 35 · fires near $41.05
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple49.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past82nd pctile · 34.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
53.4
fires under 35 · fires near $41.05
vs 50-day
✓
$46.51
at the line
Bollinger
●
$42.04
no lower pierce · fires near $41.45
VWAP 20
●
$45.27
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $45.25
Entry level
✓
$46.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.30
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.42
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
3.90% yld
no ex-date on file
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