SWSmurfit Westrock Plc$47.59-1.43%
WAIT.
Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.
The net signal reads -5 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.
QTick signal
-5net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaningBull 0 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.42× · 2.30M vs 5.44M avg
52-week range$32.73 – $52.65
Below high since 2023-16.5% · $56.99 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.1
Plan stop$43.11
Max pain—
RSI 1454.4 fires under 35 · fires near $38.56
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$47.59
$38.38 · -19.3%-19.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.9% · $51.83+8.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14●
54.4
fires under 35 · fires near $38.56
vs 50-day●
$44.78
above the line · fires near $45.17
Bollinger●
$41.57
no lower pierce · fires near $40.63
VWAP 20●
$46.74
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $46.73
Entry level✓
$47.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall●
—
not on file
MACD●
-0.02
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.42×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.12
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 77 days
Next dividend
3.80% yld
no ex-date on file