Amcor plc (AMCR) — $47.11 −1.57%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AMCRpeers & supply-chain relationships

AMCR fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.84M · Avg 3.66M
AMCRAmcor plc$47.11-1.57%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up — and the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$46.87
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$49–50
center $49.46 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.50× · 1.84M vs 3.66M avg
52-week range$36.25 – $50.94
Below high since 2019-31.3% · $68.59 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$44.19
Max pain
RSI 1461.1 fires under 35 · fires near $38.86
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$47.11
$38.70 · -17.9%-17.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.3% · $49.62+5.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
61.1
fires under 35 · fires near $38.86
vs 50-day
$42.68
above the line · fires near $43.01
Bollinger
$41.77
no lower pierce · fires near $41.17
VWAP 20
$44.94
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $44.90
Entry level
$46.87
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.15
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.50×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.25
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 1 days
Next dividend
5.52% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed