Amcor plc (AMCR) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMCR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.73M · 3-mo avg 3.57M

Amcor plc (AMCR)

AMCRAmcor plcloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$44.91
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$49–50
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $49.71 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume3% below normal0.97× its 20-day average
Past year's range$36.25 – $50.94lowest to highest price
From its peak34.2% belowpeak $68.59, highest since 2019
Gain vs. risk1.43 to 1$1.43 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$41.94the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)49.7fires under 35 · fires near $40.48
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.4× next year19.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 46%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 19.8×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 32% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
49.7
fires under 35 · fires near $40.48
vs 50-day
●
$43.90
above the line · fires near $44.31
Bollinger
●
$41.92
no lower pierce · fires near $41.25
VWAP 20
✓
$45.87
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$44.91
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.15
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 57 sessions
Next dividend
5.85% yld
no ex-date on file