Amcor plc (AMCR) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMCR fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:54 PM ETVol 2.40M · 3-mo avg 3.59M

Amcor plc (AMCR)

AMCRAmcor plcloading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 59/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$41.89
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$44–45
center $44.66 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.71×
52-week range$36.25 – $50.94
Below high since 2019-38.6% · $68.59 high
Risk / reward0.86 : 1
Plan stop$40.01
Max pain—
RSI 1442.3 fires under 35 · fires near $40.83
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.7× fwd · 17.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past86th pctile · 19.7× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
42.3
fires under 35 · fires near $40.83
vs 50-day
✓
$44.64
below the line
Bollinger
●
$40.56
no lower pierce · fires near $40.11
VWAP 20
✓
$43.76
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$41.89
level below · fires near $42.29
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.94
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
6.12% yld
no ex-date on file
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