International Paper Company (IP) — $41.34 −0.58%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

IPpeers & supply-chain relationships

IP fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.90M · Avg 5.86M
IPInternational Paper Company$41.34-0.58%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$41.13
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$49.02
center $49.02 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.85
6.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.32× · 1.90M vs 5.86M avg
52-week range$29.26 – $50.25
Below high since 2015-37.7% · $66.33 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.1
Plan stop$37.35
Max pain$41.00 options cluster
RSI 1456.1 fires under 35 · fires near $33.36
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$41.34
$33.10 · -19.9%-19.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.9% · $44.19+6.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
56.1
fires under 35 · fires near $33.36
vs 50-day
$37.75
above the line · fires near $38.04
Bollinger
$34.99
no lower pierce · fires near $33.98
VWAP 20
$40.27
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $40.26
Entry level
$41.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$36.00
OI strike below · fires near $36.14
MACD
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.32×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
17.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
USD 0.46
ex-date 2026-08-14
prices 15-min delayed