ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ARRpeers & supply-chain relationships

ARR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.93M · 3-mo avg 3.96M

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)

ARRARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 100/100 · was 97 on Sep 22 · as of 2026-09-252/6Bottom watch · 2 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$14.03
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$15.72
center $15.72 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.16×
52-week range$13.83 – $19.31
Below high since 2015-90.8% · $152.58 high
Risk / reward2.28 : 1
Plan stop$13.39
Max pain—
RSI 1422.9 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple4.8× fwd · 3.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past60th pctile · 8.9× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 79% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
22.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$15.74
below the line
Bollinger
●
$14.02
no lower pierce · fires near $13.99
VWAP 20
✓
$15.25
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$14.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.12
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.16×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
20.43% yld
no ex-date on file
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) Stock Price & Signals · QTick