Arm Holdings plc (ARM) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 10:57 AM ETVol 1.76M · 3-mo avg 5.41M

Arm Holdings plc (ARM)

ARMArm Holdings plcloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~7% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$263.58
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$449–456
center $452.70 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.58×
52-week range$100.02 – $452.70
Below high since 2023-41.5% · $452.70 high
Risk / reward4.98 : 1
Plan stop$230.52
Max pain
RSI 1454.0 fires under 35 · fires near $215.47
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple273.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past87th pctile · 211.0× median
Price / booknot on file

Trading heavier than its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 30% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
54.0
fires under 35 · fires near $215.47
vs 50-day
$262.11
above the line · fires near $264.65
Bollinger
$228.46
no lower pierce · fires near $226.17
VWAP 20
$249.29
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $249.26
Entry level
$263.58
level below · fires near $265.99
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+2.92
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.58×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
11.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.76
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file