Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALM fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 11.51M · 3-mo avg 6.72M

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)

ALMAlmonty Industries Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 38/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$12.34
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$15.01
center $15.01 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.70×
52-week range$5.44 – $24.41
Below high since 2023-49.2% · $24.41 high
Risk / reward0.33 : 1
Plan stop$9.85
Max pain—
RSI 1442.5 fires under 35 · fires near $11.59
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple62.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-2.2% · burning cash

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 10.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
42.5
fires under 35 · fires near $11.59
vs 50-day
✓
$15.09
below the line
Bollinger
●
$12.02
no lower pierce · fires near $11.52
VWAP 20
✓
$16.25
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$12.34
level below · fires near $12.45
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.37
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.70×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-06
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file