Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALGM fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.55M · 3-mo avg 2.69M

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM)

ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$36.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$39–40
center $39.72 · basis · round + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.00
8.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$22.41 – $71.77
Below high since 2020-48.8% · $71.77 high
Risk / reward0.76 : 1
Plan stop$32.87
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.3 fires under 35 · fires near $32.53
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple492.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.3
fires under 35 · fires near $32.53
vs 50-day
✓
$39.63
below the line
Bollinger
●
$32.96
no lower pierce · fires near $32.53
VWAP 20
●
$35.28
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $35.24
Entry level
●
$36.40
level below · fires near $36.71
Put wall
●
$30.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context✓
+0.36
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.53
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file