Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.07M · 3-mo avg 4.37M

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)

ALABAstera Labs, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~10% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$362.80
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$494–505
center $499.48 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$46.27
12.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.76×
52-week range$97.89 – $499.48
Below high since 2024-27.0% · $499.48 high
Risk / reward2.49 : 1
Plan stop$310.44
Max pain$275.00 options cluster
RSI 1464.4 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple180.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past45th pctile · 194.5× median
Free cash flow yield0.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 38% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
64.4
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$305.03
above the line · fires near $306.74
Bollinger
●
$233.77
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$303.21
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $303.09
Entry level
✓
$362.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$310.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+11.10
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.76×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$22.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file