Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 12:45 PM ETVol 1.99M · 3-mo avg 4.23M

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)

ALABAstera Labs, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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$214.13
near a support level · Nov 9
$291–300
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $295.71 · Nov 9
±$32.79
±15.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 29% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 29% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume20% below normal0.80× its 20-day average
Past year's range$97.89 – $499.48lowest to highest price
From its peak56.6% belowpeak $499.48, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk2.35 to 1$2.35 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$179.43the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$195.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)37.5fires under 35 · fires near $203.20
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit29.8× next year83.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 1%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 156.4×
Cash it generates0.8%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
37.5
fires under 35 · fires near $203.20
vs 50-day
✓
$299.01
below the line
Bollinger
●
$185.93
no lower pierce · fires near $178.89
VWAP 20
✓
$249.44
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$214.13
below the model level
Put wall
●
$200.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-5.77
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.80×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$25.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 61 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file