AGCO Corporation (AGCO) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 796.3K · 3-mo avg 975.7K

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)

AGCOAGCO Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$117.43
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$142–144
center $142.68 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.30
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.63×
52-week range$98.22 – $143.78
Below high since 2015-26.5% · $160.53 high
Risk / reward2.65 : 1
Plan stop$108.71
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.8 fires under 35 · fires near $105.45
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.2× fwd · 16.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past51st pctile · 10.9× median
Free cash flow yield8.8% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 38% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.8
fires under 35 · fires near $105.45
vs 50-day
●
$113.50
above the line · fires near $114.49
Bollinger
●
$113.38
no lower pierce · fires near $112.19
VWAP 20
✓
$122.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$117.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$115.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.65
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.63×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.36
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-30
in 26 sessions
Next dividend
1.02% yld
no ex-date on file