AGCO Corporation (AGCO) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AGCO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:31 PM ETVol 385.0K · 3-mo avg 1.02M

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)

AGCOAGCO Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$115.94
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 2.0% below it
$141–144
near the 52-week high · midpoint $142.68 · Nov 9
±$0.12
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume19% above normal1.19× its 20-day average
Past year's range$98.22 – $143.78lowest to highest price
From its peak27.4% belowpeak $160.53, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.31 to 1$2.31 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$104.35the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$130.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.9fires under 35 · fires near $93.23
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.9× next year29.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 88%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.8×
Cash it generates9.7%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
60.9
fires under 35 · fires near $93.23
vs 50-day
✓
$114.22
at the line
Bollinger
●
$99.79
no lower pierce · fires near $98.59
VWAP 20
●
$107.33
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $107.22
Entry level
✓
$115.94
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$130.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+1.04
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.30
ex-date 2026-11-16