PACCAR Inc (PCAR) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PCARpeers & supply-chain relationships

PCAR fair-value estimate

PCAR earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 1.10M · 3-mo avg 3.39M

PACCAR Inc (PCAR)

PCARPACCAR Incloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
$105.20
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$110–111
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $110.46 · Nov 9
±$7.03
±6.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume45% below normal0.55× its 20-day average
Past year's range$93.86 – $139.24lowest to highest price
From its peak24.1% belowpeak $139.24, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.59 to 1$0.59 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$98.57the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$120.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)46.4fires under 35 · fires near $102.11
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.5× next year20.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 79%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 14.1×
Cash it generates5.4%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
46.4
fires under 35 · fires near $102.11
vs 50-day
✓
$111.86
below the line
Bollinger
●
$99.63
no lower pierce · fires near $98.39
VWAP 20
●
$105.39
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $105.33
Entry level
✓
$105.20
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$120.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.54
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.55×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.35
ex-date 2026-11-10