PACCAR Inc (PCAR) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PCARpeers & supply-chain relationships

PCAR fair-value estimate

PCAR earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.86M · 3-mo avg 3.29M

PACCAR Inc (PCAR)

PCARPACCAR Incloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500CautionHeavy selling · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$110.75
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$119–121
center $120.20 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.94
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.93× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.13×
52-week range$92.25 – $139.24
Below high since 2015-20.1% · $139.24 high
Risk / reward1.28 : 1
Plan stop$104.37
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1422.3 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.4× fwd · 23.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past85th pctile · 14.1× median
Free cash flow yield5.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 78% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
22.3
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$126.27
below the line
Bollinger
●
$110.15
no lower pierce · fires near $109.75
VWAP 20
✓
$118.19
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$110.75
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$110.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.97
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.13×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.82
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.35
ex-date 2026-11-11