Deere & Company (DE) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DEpeers & supply-chain relationships

DE fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.11M · 3-mo avg 1.23M

Deere & Company (DE)

DEDeere & Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~14% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$687.01
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$717–725
center $721.22 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$41.15
6.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.81×
52-week range$433.00 – $721.22
Below high since 2015-4.3% · $721.22 high
Risk / reward0.84 : 1
Plan stop$653.70
Max pain$630.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.5 fires under 35 · fires near $603.40
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple30.2× fwd · 38.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past99th pctile · 18.4× median
Free cash flow yield1.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.5
fires under 35 · fires near $603.40
vs 50-day
●
$640.85
above the line · fires near $646.08
Bollinger
●
$648.57
no lower pierce · fires near $642.09
VWAP 20
●
$683.36
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $683.06
Entry level
✓
$687.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$680.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.68
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.66
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-25
in 43 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.62
ex-date 2026-09-30