Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) — Credit Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:44 AM ETVol 2.53M · 3-mo avg 4.38M

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)

AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 30/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$71.16
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$73–75
center $73.79 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.35
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.42×
52-week range$42.10 – $90.44
Below high since 2021-58.7% · $173.32 high
Risk / reward0.32 : 1
Plan stop$64.34
Max pain$71.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.9 fires under 35 · fires near $64.84
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple14.7× fwd · 12.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 67.7× median
Price / book4.36×

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.9
fires under 35 · fires near $64.84
vs 50-day
✓
$73.79
below the line
Bollinger
●
$67.16
no lower pierce · fires near $66.31
VWAP 20
✓
$74.02
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$71.16
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$66.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.03
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.42×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file