PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) — Credit Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:43 PM ETVol 20.33M · 3-mo avg 14.91M

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+8net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~20% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 31/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$54.76
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$55.94
center $55.94 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.21
5.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.41×
52-week range$38.46 – $79.22
Below high since 2015-82.6% · $315.46 high
Risk / reward0.28 : 1
Plan stop$51.82
Max pain$52.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.2 fires under 35 · fires near $50.77
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.5× fwd · 10.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past12th pctile · 16.8× median
Price / book2.40×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.2
fires under 35 · fires near $50.77
vs 50-day
✓
$56.69
below the line
Bollinger
●
$51.17
no lower pierce · fires near $50.80
VWAP 20
●
$53.41
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $53.40
Entry level
✓
$54.76
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$60.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.08
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.41×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
1.02% yld
no ex-date on file