Mastercard Incorporated (MA) — $565.19 +0.36%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MApeers & supply-chain relationships

MA fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 795.6K · Avg 3.68M
MAMastercard Incorporated$565.19+0.36%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$560.35
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$595–601
center $598.04 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$21.42
3.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.22× · 795.6K vs 3.68M avg
52-week range$464.52 – $601.77
Below high since 2015-6.4% · $601.77 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.6
Plan stop$536.49
Max pain$565.00 options cluster
RSI 1459.5 fires under 35 · fires near $508.79
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$565.19
$505.42 · -10.6%-10.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.8% · $586.61+3.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
59.5
fires under 35 · fires near $508.79
vs 50-day
$522.41
above the line · fires near $526.72
Bollinger
$523.88
no lower pierce · fires near $517.75
VWAP 20
$556.38
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $556.23
Entry level
$560.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$550.00
OI strike below · fires near $552.49
MACD
+0.79
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.22×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.93
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
0.62% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed