Mastercard Incorporated (MA) — Credit Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.37M · 3-mo avg 2.96M

Mastercard Incorporated (MA)

MAMastercard Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~20% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 22/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$564.81
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$588–592
center $590.00 · basis · bb upper + call wall · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$16.80
3.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.92×
52-week range$464.52 – $601.23
Below high since 2015-5.7% · $601.77 high
Risk / reward1.09 : 1
Plan stop$547.14
Max pain$565.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.6 fires under 35 · fires near $543.45
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple24.7× fwd · 31.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past11th pctile · 36.4× median
Price / book64.27×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
48.6
fires under 35 · fires near $543.45
vs 50-day
✓
$568.82
at the line
Bollinger
●
$552.39
no lower pierce · fires near $548.96
VWAP 20
✓
$572.49
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$564.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$550.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.72
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.92×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.83
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
0.61% yld
no ex-date on file