Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) — $219.85 +0.40%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 7, 2026 · 10:04 AM ETVol 455.4K · Avg 4.78M
COFCapital One Financial Corporation$219.85+0.40%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$217.88
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$256–259
center $257.54 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.12
4.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~62% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.10× · 455.4K vs 4.78M avg
52-week range$174.24 – $259.64
Below high since 2015-15.7% · $259.64 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.5
Plan stop$202.29
Max pain$207.50 options cluster
RSI 1462.6 fires under 35 · fires near $189.38
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$219.85
$188.39 · -14.3%-14.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.1% · $228.97+4.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
62.6
fires under 35 · fires near $189.38
vs 50-day
$200.94
above the line · fires near $202.55
Bollinger
$197.69
no lower pierce · fires near $195.47
VWAP 20
$209.26
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $209.23
Entry level
$217.88
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$215.00
OI strike below · fires near $215.91
MACD
+0.99
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.10×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.67
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
20 Oct 2026
· in 69 days
Next dividend
USD 0.80
ex-date 2026-08-17
prices 15-min delayed