Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) — Credit Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 1.74M · 3-mo avg 3.75M

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

COFCapital One Financial Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~16% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 38/100 · Nov 10
$197.59
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$201–205
near a resistance level, the options pressure point, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $203.30 · Nov 9
±$12.25
±6.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 4% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
57% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 4% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume29% below normal0.71× its 20-day average
Past year's range$174.24 – $259.64lowest to highest price
From its peak23.5% belowpeak $259.64, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.39 to 1$0.39 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$183.08the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$205.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)43.2fires under 35 · fires near $185.92
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.2× next year12.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 60%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.0×

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.2
fires under 35 · fires near $185.92
vs 50-day
✓
$203.29
below the line
Bollinger
●
$195.11
no lower pierce · fires near $194.80
VWAP 20
✓
$203.31
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$197.59
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$195.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.75
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.25
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-19
in 46 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.80
ex-date 2026-11-16