American Express Company (AXP) — Credit Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.39M · 3-mo avg 2.95M

American Express Company (AXP)

AXPAmerican Express Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~29% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$321.84
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$381–385
near the 52-week high · midpoint $383.18 · Nov 10
±$17.37
±5.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
57% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume21% below normal0.79× its 20-day average
Past year's range$290.97 – $387.49lowest to highest price
From its peak16.5% belowpeak $387.49, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.14 to 1$3.14 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$304.41the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)53.9fires under 35 · fires near $293.90
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.1× next year18.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 48%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.4×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.9
fires under 35 · fires near $293.90
vs 50-day
●
$315.41
above the line · fires near $318.43
Bollinger
●
$307.72
no lower pierce · fires near $305.56
VWAP 20
●
$320.67
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $320.64
Entry level
✓
$321.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.53
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.72
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-29
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
1.17% yld
no ex-date on file