Adobe Inc. (ADBE) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ADBE fair-value estimate

ADBE earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.11M · 3-mo avg 5.30M

Adobe Inc. (ADBE)

ADBEAdobe Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~8% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 51/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$234.29
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$256–261
center $258.55 · basis · call wall + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$12.81
5.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.56×
52-week range$190.12 – $363.70
Below high since 2015-67.0% · $714.54 high
Risk / reward1.22 : 1
Plan stop$216.50
Max pain$250.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.6 fires under 35 · fires near $231.78
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.5× fwd · 13.1× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield10.4% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
36.6
fires under 35 · fires near $231.78
vs 50-day
✓
$257.42
below the line
Bollinger
●
$224.01
no lower pierce · fires near $220.71
VWAP 20
✓
$258.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$234.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$240.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-3.38
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.56×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 52 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file