Adobe Inc. (ADBE) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.50M · 3-mo avg 4.67M

Adobe Inc. (ADBE)

ADBEAdobe Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
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$236.13
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$249–253
near the options pressure point, a round-number price, the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $250.83 · Nov 9
±$17.97
±7.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 5% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 5% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume16% below normal0.84× its 20-day average
Past year's range$190.12 – $362.71lowest to highest price
From its peak66.8% belowpeak $714.54, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.70 to 1$0.70 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$218.15the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$200.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)41.0fires under 35 · fires near $226.54
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.7× next year13.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 6%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 35.8×
Cash it generates10.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.0
fires under 35 · fires near $226.54
vs 50-day
✓
$250.16
below the line
Bollinger
●
$232.97
no lower pierce · fires near $231.59
VWAP 20
✓
$250.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$236.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$245.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-1.53
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.99
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 21 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file