Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ABRpeers & supply-chain relationships

ABR fair-value estimate

ABR earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.54M · 3-mo avg 4.17M

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR)

ABRArbor Realty Trust, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 66/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$4.01
basis · low 52w + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$4–5
center $4.50 · basis · call wall + max pain + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.38
9.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.99×
52-week range$4.02 – $12.58
Below high since 2015-80.9% · $21.13 high
Risk / reward1.35 : 1
Plan stop$3.68
Max pain$4.50 options cluster
RSI 1424.1 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple44.8× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / book0.25×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
24.1
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$4.88
below the line
Bollinger
●
$3.93
no lower pierce · fires near $3.89
VWAP 20
✓
$4.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$4.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$4.50
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.99×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.16
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-30
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
23.33% yld
no ex-date on file