Wayfair Inc. (W) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:03 PM ETVol 1.88M · 3-mo avg 2.95M

Wayfair Inc. (W)

WWayfair Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 6/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$97.66
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$99–101
center $99.75 · basis · daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.41
8.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.78×
52-week range$55.60 – $119.98
Below high since 2015-75.1% · $393.62 high
Risk / reward0.16 : 1
Plan stop$88.20
Max pain$100.00 options cluster
RSI 1446.0 fires under 35 · fires near $88.12
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple25.3× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.0
fires under 35 · fires near $88.12
vs 50-day
✓
$98.88
at the line
Bollinger
●
$93.43
no lower pierce · fires near $92.34
VWAP 20
✓
$100.61
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$97.66
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$100.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.52
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file