MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 525.9K · 3-mo avg 472.7K

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)

MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+4net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyOKPCE inflation days · ~19% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 47/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,745.36
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$1,847–1,876
center $1,861.36 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$115.32
6.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$1,495.00 – $2,548.50
Below high since 2015-33.7% · $2,645.22 high
Risk / reward0.86 : 1
Plan stop$1,626.68
Max pain$1,825.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.1 fires under 35 · fires near $1,738.19
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple30.9× fwd · 47.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past10th pctile · 76.2× median
Free cash flow yield12.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.1
fires under 35 · fires near $1,738.19
vs 50-day
✓
$1,870.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$1,749.76
no lower pierce · fires near $1,748.29
VWAP 20
✓
$1,866.85
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$1,745.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$1,750.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-20.58
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$59.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file