MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) — $1,824.34 +0.20%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MELIpeers & supply-chain relationships

MELI fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 313.1K · Avg 493.1K
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.$1,824.34+0.20%Pre-market$1,846.50+1.21%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$1,815.22
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$1,872–1,900
center $1,885.80 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$126.79
7.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.63× · 313.1K vs 493.1K avg
52-week range$1,495.00 – $2,548.50
Below high since 2015-31.0% · $2,645.22 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.6
Plan stop$1,695.19
Max pain$1,200.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.4 fires under 35 · fires near $1,684.97
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$1,824.34
$1,675.67 · -8.1%-8.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.9% · $1,951.13+6.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.4
fires under 35 · fires near $1,684.97
vs 50-day
$1,750.30
above the line · fires near $1,765.80
Bollinger
$1,776.48
no lower pierce · fires near $1,764.87
VWAP 20
$1,848.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$1,815.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$1,800.00
OI strike below · fires near $1,808.54
MACD
-8.98
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.63×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$57.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed