Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.04M · 3-mo avg 10.03M

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA)

BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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$104.85
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 2.0% below it
$107–109
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $108.11 · Nov 9
±$7.98
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume13% above normal1.13× its 20-day average
Past year's range$91.99 – $181.10lowest to highest price
From its peak68.4% belowpeak $333.17, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.47 to 1$0.47 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$97.91the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)49.4fires under 35 · fires near $88.30
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.1× next year24.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 77%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.9×
Cash it generates-18.7%it used more cash than it made

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.4
fires under 35 · fires near $88.30
vs 50-day
✓
$108.02
below the line
Bollinger
●
$95.85
no lower pierce · fires near $94.35
VWAP 20
✓
$104.92
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$104.85
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.95
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.13×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 7 sessions
Next dividend
1.02% yld
no ex-date on file