PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) — $93.00 +1.35%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

PDDpeers & supply-chain relationships

PDD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.02M · Avg 8.75M
PDDPDD Holdings Inc.$93.00+1.35%Pre-market$92.34-0.71%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -8 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, 2 accounting red flags are raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-8net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 1 pts·Bear 9 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$92.54
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$139–140
center $139.41 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.90
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.57× · 5.02M vs 8.75M avg
52-week range$71.94 – $139.41
Below high since 2018-58.6% · $224.87 high
Risk / reward1 : 8.4
Plan stop$86.94
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1468.8 fires under 35 · fires near $78.01
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$93.00
$77.92 · -16.2%-16.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.3% · $97.90+5.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
68.8
fires under 35 · fires near $78.01
vs 50-day
$83.96
above the line · fires near $84.61
Bollinger
$80.94
no lower pierce · fires near $80.18
VWAP 20
$86.84
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $86.78
Entry level
$92.54
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$80.00
OI strike below · fires near $80.37
MACD
+0.70
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.57×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
25 Aug 2026
· in 13 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed