PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) — Internet Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PDDpeers & supply-chain relationships

PDD fair-value estimate

PDD earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.96M · 3-mo avg 6.99M

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)

PDDPDD Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 29/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$77.18
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$84–85
center $84.47 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.85
5.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$71.94 – $139.41
Below high since 2018-65.5% · $224.87 high
Risk / reward1.80 : 1
Plan stop$73.73
Max pain$80.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.0 fires under 35 · fires near $76.68
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple6.4× fwd · 8.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past2nd pctile · 17.2× median
Free cash flow yield93.9% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
37.0
fires under 35 · fires near $76.68
vs 50-day
✓
$84.49
below the line
Bollinger
●
$75.44
no lower pierce · fires near $74.87
VWAP 20
✓
$80.20
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$77.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$80.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 39 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file