Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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VRNS fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 329.6K · 3-mo avg 2.09M

Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS)

VRNSVaronis Systems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 3/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$47.30
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$63–64
center $63.90 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.62
12.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$19.70 – $63.90
Below high since 2015-35.9% · $74.53 high
Risk / reward3.34 : 1
Plan stop$42.33
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1461.2 fires under 35 · fires near $35.96
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple116.8× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
61.2
fires under 35 · fires near $35.96
vs 50-day
$44.37
above the line · fires near $44.74
Bollinger
$39.77
no lower pierce · fires near $38.84
VWAP 20
$45.04
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $45.02
Entry level
$47.30
below the model level
Put wall
$40.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.32
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file