Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.34M · 3-mo avg 3.08M

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

VLOValero Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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$344.72
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$365–375
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $370.00 · Nov 6
±$31.28
±9.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume9% above normal1.09× its 20-day average
Past year's range$159.90 – $461.52lowest to highest price
From its peak24.9% belowpeak $461.52, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.57 to 1$0.57 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$305.03the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$380.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)31.3washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.5× next year7.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 45%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.4×
Cash it generates4.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
31.3
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$399.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$343.15
no lower pierce · fires near $341.95
VWAP 20
✓
$403.57
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$344.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$370.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-9.56
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.09×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$19.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 55 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.20
ex-date 2026-11-24