Phillips 66 (PSX) — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.07M · 3-mo avg 2.95M

Phillips 66 (PSX)

PSXPhillips 66loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~6% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 55/100 · Nov 6
$244.49
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$265–271
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $267.81 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume5% above normal1.05× its 20-day average
Past year's range$127.16 – $299.39lowest to highest price
From its peak17.9% belowpeak $299.39, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.92 to 1$0.92 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$221.60the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)33.4washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.6× next year7.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 31%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.1×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
33.4
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$268.16
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$250.27
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$276.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$244.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-5.33
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.05×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-03
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
2.17% yld
no ex-date on file