HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.45M · 3-mo avg 2.55M

HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO)

DINOHF Sinclair Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 90/100 · was 32 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$96.69
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$111–114
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $112.47 · Nov 6
±$8.55
±8.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 14% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 14% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volumenormal1.00× its 20-day average
Past year's range$45.71 – $129.37lowest to highest price
From its peak24.9% belowpeak $129.37, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.16 to 1$1.16 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$84.03the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$115.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)29.5oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit5.4× next year5.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 26%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.5×
Cash it generates4.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.5
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$112.78
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$98.92
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$116.09
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$96.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$90.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-3.17
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.00×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.33
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.53
ex-date 2026-11-12