Toast, Inc. (TOST) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:16 PM ETVol 4.40M · 3-mo avg 8.68M

Toast, Inc. (TOST)

TOSTToast, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$34.60
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 2.5% below it
$38–39
near the 52-week high · midpoint $38.64 · Nov 9
±$2.41
±7.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume1% above normal1.01× its 20-day average
Past year's range$22.26 – $39.67lowest to highest price
From its peak51.7% belowpeak $71.96, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk1.43 to 1$1.43 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$31.78the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)63.6fires under 35 · fires near $24.50
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.4× next year42.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 17%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 67.9×
Cash it generates3.2%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.6
fires under 35 · fires near $24.50
vs 50-day
●
$31.84
above the line · fires near $32.10
Bollinger
●
$29.78
no lower pierce · fires near $29.21
VWAP 20
●
$32.92
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $32.86
Entry level
✓
$34.60
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.10
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.01×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 63 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file