Toast, Inc. (TOST) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TOST fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 8.52M · 3-mo avg 10.87M

Toast, Inc. (TOST)

TOSTToast, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 9 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 50/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$30.45
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$32.94
center $32.94 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.86
6.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.02×
52-week range$22.26 – $39.73
Below high since 2021-57.5% · $71.96 high
Risk / reward1.04 : 1
Plan stop$28.36
Max pain$31.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.8 fires under 35 · fires near $29.99
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.3× fwd · 37.9× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
39.8
fires under 35 · fires near $29.99
vs 50-day
✓
$32.95
below the line
Bollinger
●
$28.58
no lower pierce · fires near $28.09
VWAP 20
✓
$32.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$30.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$31.50
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.50
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file