Terex Corporation (TEX) — Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TEX fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.10M · 3-mo avg 1.30M

Terex Corporation (TEX)

TEXTerex Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$57.59
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$61–62
center $61.51 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.24
7.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.15×
52-week range$41.70 – $74.69
Below high since 2015-22.5% · $74.69 high
Risk / reward0.69 : 1
Plan stop$52.63
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1435.7 fires under 35 · fires near $57.54
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.7× fwd · 27.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past91st pctile · 10.7× median
Free cash flow yield4.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
35.7
fires under 35 · fires near $57.54
vs 50-day
$64.47
below the line
Bollinger
$56.95
no lower pierce · fires near $56.64
VWAP 20
$62.26
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$57.59
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$65.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.44
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.15×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
1.17% yld
no ex-date on file