Ball Corporation (BALL) — Packaging & Containers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.98M · 3-mo avg 2.15M

Ball Corporation (BALL)

BALLBall Corporationloading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$65.59
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$69–70
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $69.58 · Nov 6
±$0.15
±0.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume25% below normal0.75× its 20-day average
Past year's range$46.06 – $69.58lowest to highest price
From its peak36.4% belowpeak $103.70, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.45 to 1$0.45 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$60.63the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$65.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)59.6fires under 35 · fires near $55.20
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit14.9× next year33.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 89%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.2×
Cash it generates4.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.6
fires under 35 · fires near $55.20
vs 50-day
●
$61.44
above the line · fires near $61.88
Bollinger
●
$59.43
no lower pierce · fires near $58.54
VWAP 20
●
$64.20
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $64.14
Entry level
●
$65.59
level below · fires near $66.23
Put wall
●
$40.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.13
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 57 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.20
ex-date 2026-12-01