Ball Corporation (BALL) — $62.58 −1.37%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

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BALL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.24M · Avg 2.63M
BALLBall Corporation$62.58-1.37%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$62.27
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$67–68
center $67.50 · basis · bb upper + call wall · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.82
6.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.47× · 1.24M vs 2.63M avg
52-week range$44.83 – $68.29
Below high since 2015-39.7% · $103.70 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$58.65
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.6 fires under 35 · fires near $58.60
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$62.58
$58.28 · -6.9%-6.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.1% · $66.40+6.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
48.6
fires under 35 · fires near $58.60
vs 50-day
$60.36
above the line · fires near $60.91
Bollinger
$60.31
no lower pierce · fires near $59.79
VWAP 20
$63.41
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$62.27
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$60.00
OI strike below · fires near $60.30
MACD
-0.37
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.47×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.72
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
3 Nov 2026
· in 83 days
Next dividend
USD 0.20
ex-date 2026-09-01
prices 15-min delayed