SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:13 AM ETVol 224.0K · 3-mo avg 390.5K

SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW)

SKYWSkyWest, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$101.78
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$104–106
center $105.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.33
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.85×
52-week range$77.89 – $117.72
Below high since 2015-24.5% · $135.57 high
Risk / reward0.36 : 1
Plan stop$94.70
Max pain$105.00 options cluster
RSI 1457.0 fires under 35 · fires near $89.22
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.3× fwd · 10.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past22nd pctile · 12.5× median
Free cash flow yield7.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 35% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
57.0
fires under 35 · fires near $89.22
vs 50-day
✓
$102.13
at the line
Bollinger
●
$92.51
no lower pierce · fires near $92.01
VWAP 20
●
$97.18
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $97.15
Entry level
✓
$101.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$115.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.79
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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